X Layer mainnet · Awaiting caller signatures · Binary YES / NO

Republican nominee wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election

Will the Republican Party's presidential nominee win the 2028 United States presidential election?

YES · committed50%
Liquidity1,000.00 USDG
Fees2% · 0.25%

Resolution rules

YES
Resolve YES if the Republican Party's presidential nominee is officially determined to have won the 2028 United States presidential election. If the presidential election is decided by the U.S. House of Representatives under the Twelfth Amendment, resolve YES if the person elected President by the House is the Republican Party's presidential nominee.
NO
Resolve NO if the Republican Party's presidential nominee is not officially determined to have won the 2028 United States presidential election, including if a Democratic, third-party, or independent candidate wins, or if the House elects a person other than the Republican Party's presidential nominee under the Twelfth Amendment.
Evidence
  • Use an official election-certification record or official Electoral College record identifying the winning presidential candidate.
  • If the election is decided by the House of Representatives under the Twelfth Amendment, use an official record of the House vote identifying the person elected President.
  • Use the Congressional Record only if the primary source does not provide sufficient official evidence to determine the result.
Unavailable data
use fallback
Ambiguous result
invalid refund

Timing

Trading closes
06 Jan 2029 · 05:00 UTC
Observation
07 Jan 2029 · 04:59 UTC
Resolution deadline
21 Jan 2029 · 04:59 UTC
Created
26 Jul 2026 · 16:23 UTC

Canonical rules

The exact bytes that were hashed and committed onchain. Any change produces a different hash and blocks lifecycle actions.

Show canonical JSON
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Republican nominee wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election · PMX