Bitcoin above $66,000 at noon Central Time on July 26, 2026

{"schemaVersion":"1.0","title":"Bitcoin above $66,000 at noon Central Time on July 26, 2026","question":"Will the BTC/USD reference price be strictly above USD 66,000.00 on 2026-07-26 at 12:00 PM America/Chicago time?","outcomes":["YES","NO"],"yesCondition":"Resolve YES if valid BTC/USD trade prices are obtained from both Coinbase BTC-USD and Kraken BTC/USD, using for each source the first valid trade price timestamped at or immediately after 2026-07-26T17:00:00Z, and the arithmetic mean of those two prices is strictly greater than USD 66,000.00.","noCondition":"Resolve NO if valid BTC/USD trade prices are obtained from both sources and the arithmetic mean of the specified two prices is not strictly greater than USD 66,000.00, meaning it is less than or equal to USD 66,000.00.","primarySource":{"name":"Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD public trades API","url":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/trades"},"fallbackSource":{"name":"Kraken BTC/USD public trades API","url":"https://api.kraken.com/0/public/Trades?pair=XBTUSD"},"observationTime":"2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z","tradingCloseTime":"2026-07-26T16:59:59.000Z","resolutionDeadline":"2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z","evidenceRequirements":["Use the first valid BTC/USD trade price from each named source whose source timestamp is at or immediately after the observation time.","For Coinbase, use the BTC-USD trade price in USD. For Kraken, use the XBTUSD trade price in USD.","Calculate the reference price as the arithmetic mean of the two source prices, without rounding before comparison.","Retain source records showing the trade timestamp and price used from each source."],"unavailableDataPolicy":"INVALID_REFUND","ambiguousResultPolicy":"INVALID_REFUND","collateral":"USDG","initialProbabilityBps":5000,"initialLiquidityRaw":"1000000","lpFeeBps":200,"protocolFeeBps":25}