BTC trades above $70,000 before July 31, 2026

{"schemaVersion":"1.0","title":"BTC trades above $70,000 before July 31, 2026","question":"Will Bitcoin (BTC) trade above $70,000 USD at any point before 2026-07-31T11:59:00Z?","outcomes":["YES","NO"],"yesCondition":"YES if Coinbase Exchange records at least one executed BTC-USD trade with a price strictly greater than 70,000.00 USD and a timestamp earlier than 2026-07-31T11:59:00Z.","noCondition":"NO if Coinbase Exchange does not record any executed BTC-USD trade with a price strictly greater than 70,000.00 USD before 2026-07-31T11:59:00Z; otherwise, if the primary source is unavailable, NO applies only if the fallback source does not record a qualifying trade.","primarySource":{"name":"Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD market data","url":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/trades"},"fallbackSource":{"name":"Kraken XBT/USD market data","url":"https://api.kraken.com/0/public/OHLC?pair=XBTUSD&interval=1"},"observationTime":"2026-07-31T11:59:00.000Z","tradingCloseTime":"2026-07-31T11:59:00.000Z","resolutionDeadline":"2026-08-07T11:59:00.000Z","evidenceRequirements":["Evidence must show an executed spot-market trade, its BTC-USD or XBT/USD price, and its timestamp.","A qualifying price must be strictly greater than 70,000.00 USD.","The qualifying trade timestamp must be earlier than 2026-07-31T11:59:00Z.","If the primary source is unavailable, use the fallback source's XBT/USD spot-market data, treating XBT as BTC."],"unavailableDataPolicy":"USE_FALLBACK","ambiguousResultPolicy":"INVALID_REFUND","collateral":"USDG","initialProbabilityBps":5000,"initialLiquidityRaw":"1000000","lpFeeBps":200,"protocolFeeBps":25}