Twitter outage before 11:59 UTC on July 28, 2026

{"schemaVersion":"1.0","title":"Twitter outage before 11:59 UTC on July 28, 2026","question":"Will Twitter (X) have an outage between 2026-07-28T00:00:00Z and 2026-07-28T11:59:00Z?","outcomes":["YES","NO"],"yesCondition":"YES if the primary source records an incident during the stated period that identifies an outage or service disruption affecting Twitter (X), or, if the primary source is unavailable, the fallback source records an outage affecting Twitter (X) during that period.","noCondition":"NO if Twitter (X) does not have a recorded outage or service disruption affecting it during the stated period, or otherwise if the YES condition is not met.","primarySource":{"name":"X Status","url":"https://status.x.com/"},"fallbackSource":{"name":"Downdetector: X (Twitter)","url":"https://downdetector.com/status/twitter"},"observationTime":"2026-07-28T11:59:00.000Z","tradingCloseTime":"2026-07-28T11:58:00.000Z","resolutionDeadline":"2026-07-29T11:59:00.000Z","evidenceRequirements":["The qualifying incident must have begun no earlier than 2026-07-28T00:00:00Z and no later than 2026-07-28T11:59:00Z.","For the primary source, an incident entry must explicitly identify an outage, degraded service, or service disruption affecting Twitter (X).","If the primary source is unavailable, the fallback source must show an outage affecting X (Twitter) during the stated period.","Evidence must include a timestamped source page, incident entry, or archived copy available by the resolution deadline."],"unavailableDataPolicy":"USE_FALLBACK","ambiguousResultPolicy":"INVALID_REFUND","collateral":"USDG","initialProbabilityBps":5000,"initialLiquidityRaw":"1000000","lpFeeBps":200,"protocolFeeBps":25}