Bitcoin at or above $70,000 on July 31, 2026

{"schemaVersion":"1.0","title":"Bitcoin at or above $70,000 on July 31, 2026","question":"Will the BTC-USD price be at or above 70,000 USD at 12:00:00 UTC on July 31, 2026?","outcomes":["YES","NO"],"yesCondition":"YES if the BTC-USD price published by Coinbase for 2026-07-31T12:00:00Z is greater than or equal to 70,000.00 USD.","noCondition":"NO if the BTC-USD price published by Coinbase for 2026-07-31T12:00:00Z is not greater than or equal to 70,000.00 USD; otherwise, the market is invalid and refunded under the unavailable-data policy.","primarySource":{"name":"Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD market data","url":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles"},"fallbackSource":{"name":"Kraken BTC/USD market data","url":"https://api.kraken.com/0/public/OHLC?pair=XBTUSD"},"observationTime":"2026-07-31T12:00:00.000Z","tradingCloseTime":"2026-07-31T11:55:00.000Z","resolutionDeadline":"2026-07-31T13:00:00.000Z","evidenceRequirements":["Use the primary source's BTC-USD one-minute candle whose interval begins at 2026-07-31T12:00:00Z and use its opening price as the price at the observation time.","If the primary-source candle is unavailable, use the fallback source's XBTUSD one-minute candle whose interval begins at 2026-07-31T12:00:00Z and use its opening price.","Record the retrieved source response and the applicable candle timestamp and price."],"unavailableDataPolicy":"USE_FALLBACK","ambiguousResultPolicy":"INVALID_REFUND","collateral":"USDG","initialProbabilityBps":5000,"initialLiquidityRaw":"1000000","lpFeeBps":200,"protocolFeeBps":25}